Skip Navigation

Journal of Refugee Studies 2008 21(3):347-359; doi:10.1093/jrs/fen024
This Article
Right arrow Full Text
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a friend
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to My Personal Archive
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrowRequest Permissions
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Edwards, S.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us  
What's this?

© The Author [2008]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Computational Tools in Predicting and Assessing Forced Migration

Scott Edwards

Amnesty International, 600 Pennsylvania Ave SE, 5th Floor, Washington, DC 20003, USA*

sedwards{at}aiusa.org

This paper highlights the potential use of computational models in predicting key spatial patterns of conflict-induced forced displacement. The complexity inherent in displacement is well demonstrated by counter-intuitive or ‘aberrant’ patterns of flight that are not easily explained by extant forced-displacement theory. In order to develop contingency models of flight to assist aid providers or policy makers, a need exists to capture this complexity using the leverage of computational models. There has been little systematic effort to apply advances in computational modelling to forced displacement, and this paper seeks to highlight the benefits, potential model designs, and likely limitations of this needed tool.

Key Words: forced migration • computational models • prediction

MS received August 1, 2007 ; revised MS received May 1, 2008
Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us    What's this?




Disclaimer: Please note that abstracts for content published before 1996 were created through digital scanning and may therefore not exactly replicate the text of the original print issues. All efforts have been made to ensure accuracy, but the Publisher will not be held responsible for any remaining inaccuracies. If you require any further clarification, please contact our Customer Services Department.